Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.023400 0.028324 0.033500 0.039305 0.045592 0.052161 0.059509
2026-02-08 0.014441 0.020909 0.028275 0.037075 0.047117 0.058066 0.070766
2026-02-15 0.009678 0.016794 0.025530 0.036522 0.049565 0.064216 0.081617
2026-02-22 0.006883 0.014332 0.024132 0.037010 0.052760 0.070836 0.092665
2026-03-01 0.004929 0.012475 0.023111 0.037638 0.055859 0.077137 0.103167
2026-03-08 0.003700 0.011351 0.022827 0.039010 0.059713 0.084210 0.114464
2026-03-15 0.002595 0.010086 0.022138 0.039701 0.062609 0.090056 0.124253
2026-03-22 0.002318 0.010256 0.023489 0.043073 0.068845 0.099894 0.138731
2026-03-29 0.001291 0.008486 0.021706 0.042050 0.069399 0.102784 0.144925
2026-04-05 0.000785 0.007595 0.021155 0.042633 0.071943 0.108047 0.153899
2026-04-12 0.000368 0.006551 0.020198 0.042540 0.073538 0.112093 0.161375
2026-04-19 0.000132 0.005730 0.019498 0.042739 0.075462 0.116505 0.169260
2026-04-26 0.000007 0.004768 0.018467 0.042496 0.076926 0.120537 0.176953
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003335 0.016196 0.040203 0.075529 0.120925 0.180193
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002573 0.015102 0.039631 0.076416 0.124161 0.186885
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002163 0.014711 0.040141 0.078779 0.129265 0.195866
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001834 0.014432 0.040796 0.081322 0.134587 0.205108
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001688 0.014619 0.042226 0.084960 0.141324 0.216108
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001433 0.014409 0.042946 0.087567 0.146713 0.225424
2026-06-14 NaN 0.001674 0.015791 0.046456 0.094206 0.157370 0.241325
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001156 0.014591 0.045392 0.094210 0.159347 0.246373
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000953 0.014354 0.045998 0.096619 0.164459 0.255334
2026-07-05 NaN 0.000694 0.013754 0.045902 0.097975 0.168170 0.262528